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Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Alcaraz vs Berrettini analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Berrettini Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Alcaraz 3 - 1 Berrettini

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Alcaraz has won 59.04% of points on their second serve, while Berrettini has won 47.3%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Alcaraz, in recent form, has won 58.83% of their opponent's second serve points, while Berrettini has won 48.21%. The same stats for first serve returns are 37.25% and 33.33% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Alcaraz has saved 62.61% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Berrettini has saved 64.06% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Alcaraz has won 79.71% of matches played (W/L 55/ 14), with Berrettini winning 63.64% (W/L 14/ 8) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Alcaraz has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 16/ 2), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 13/ 10). Berrettini has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 81% (W/L 39/ 9), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 52% (W/L 28/ 26).
  • Player level: In the last year, Alcaraz has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 76.92% of matches (W/L 20/ 6), where as Berrettini has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 83.33% of matches (W/L 5/ 1). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Alcaraz winning 3 times and Berrettini being victorious 1 times. They have played 15 sets in total, with Alcaraz winning 9 and Berrettini winning 6. The last match between Alcaraz and Berrettini was at the Wimbledon - London, 10-07-2023, Fourth, Grass with Carlos Alcaraz getting the victory 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-3.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:59:26.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Alcaraz and Berrettini have played a deciding set 3 times, with Alcaraz winning 2 times and Berrettini 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 4 tiebreaks against each other with Alcaraz winning 1, and Berrettini 3.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Alcaraz has played against opponents with an average rank of 93.97 while Berrettini has played against players with an average rank of 146.91.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Alcaraz has won 71% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Berrettini has won 71% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Alcaraz has converted 44.27% of breakpoint opportunities, and Berrettini has converted 36.36% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
bet365
Carlos Alcaraz

20

Total

5

Mast

4

Chall

2

Slam

6

Main

3

Minor

3

Rank

1

High

21

Age

R

Plays

3

Total

1

0

Hard

1

1

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

1

Grass

0

97

Rank

6

High

28

Age

R

Plays

Matteo Berrettini

13

Total

0

Mast

3

Chall

0

Slam

8

Main

2

Minor

3

Total

1

0

Hard

1

1

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

1

Grass

0

W L W W W L W W W W

Form

W W L L W W W W W L

79% (252-68)

Career Total W/L

67% (306-153)

81% (22-5)

YTD W/L

75% (9-3)

$19,325,640

Career Prize Money

$8,285,640

1

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Alcaraz VS Berrettini H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Carlos Alcaraz Matteo Berrettini
All H2H Matches 3 1
Sets Won 9 6
Games Won 80 65
Aces (Total) 23 32
DFs (Total) 22 5
Avg Match Time 2:59:26 2:59:26
1st Serve % 63% (265/419) 67% (303/452)
1st Serve Win% 77% (203/265) 74% (223/303)
2nd Serve Win% 60% (93/154) 46% (68/149)
BPs Won% (Total) 34% (15/44) 50% (7/14)
Return Points W% 36% (161/452) 29% (123/419)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
TBs Win% (Total) 25% (1/4) 75% (3/4)
Deciding Set Win% 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
1st set W, W 100% (2/2) 50% (2/1)
1st set W, L 0% (2/0) 50% (2/1)
1st set L, W 50% (2/1) 0% (2/0)

Alcaraz VS Berrettini H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
3-6 6-3 6-3 6-3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Matteo Berrettini
63% ( 67 of 106)
1st Serve %
71% ( 84 of 119)
4
Aces
9
6
Double Faults
0
79% ( 53 of 67)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 56 of 84)
59% ( 23 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 17 of 35)
25% ( 4 of 16)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
28% ( 30 of 106)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 46 of 119)
122
Total Points Won
103
6-2 2-6 6-2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Matteo Berrettini
62% ( 41 of 66)
1st Serve %
62% ( 39 of 63)
1
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
2
73% ( 30 of 41)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 27 of 39)
56% ( 14 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
33% ( 22 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 25 of 63)
69
Total Points Won
60
6-2 7-6(3) 4-6 2-6 7-6(5)
cross
Matteo Berrettini
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
71% ( 115 of 163)
1st Serve %
62% ( 96 of 155)
10
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
8
78% ( 90 of 115)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 71 of 96)
44% ( 21 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 36 of 59)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
31% ( 4 of 13)
32% ( 52 of 163)
Rtn Points Won
31% ( 48 of 155)
159
Total Points Won
159
6-1 6-7(2) 7-6(5)
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Matteo Berrettini
66% ( 61 of 92)
1st Serve %
61% ( 65 of 107)
6
Aces
12
4
Double Faults
1
80% ( 49 of 61)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 50 of 65)
65% ( 20 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 19 of 42)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
25% ( 23 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 38 of 107)
107
Total Points Won
92

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Carlos Alcaraz Matteo Berrettini
YTD W/L 81% (22/5) 75% (9/3)
Sets Win/Loss 79% (54/14) 63% (19/11)
Games Win/Loss 61% (377/239) 54% (162/138)
Hard Win/Loss 87% (13/2) 67% (4/2)
Clay Win/Loss 75% (9/3) 83% (5/1)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.26 0.54
Aces Total 79 79
DFs per game 0.14 0.16
DFs Total 43 23
Avg Match Time 1:52:1 2:6:5
Avg Opp Rank 128.85 235.75
1st Serve % 68% (1247/1835) 66% (601/916)
1st Serve W% 72% (899/1247) 76% (456/601)
2nd Serve W% 58% (343/588) 47% (149/315)
BPs Won% Total 44% (110/250) 36% (36/99)
Return Pts W% 45% (920/2064) 39% (393/1004)
Slam W/L 89% (8/1) 0% (0/0)
Masters W/L 86% (12/2) 0% (0/2)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 50% (2/2) 100% (5/0)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 80% (4/1)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 82% (14/17) 75% (9/12)
Best of 5 Sets W% 89% (8/9) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 64% (7/11) 71% (5/7)
Deciding Set W% 75% (3/4) 83% (5/6)
1st set W, W 95% (21/20) 83% (6/5)
1st set W, L 5% (21/1) 17% (6/1)
1st set L, W 40% (5/2) 67% (6/4)

Carlos Alcaraz Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
67% ( 53 of 79)
1st Serve %
57% ( 48 of 84)
1
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
5
75% ( 40 of 53)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 29 of 48)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 14 of 36)
38% ( 6 of 16)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
32% ( 25 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 41 of 84)
95
Total Points Won
68
W
6-3 6-3 6-1 H2H
R3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Sebastian Korda
78% ( 70 of 90)
1st Serve %
58% ( 72 of 124)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
73% ( 51 of 70)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 44 of 72)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 25 of 52)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
29% ( 26 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 55 of 124)
119
Total Points Won
95
W
6-4 7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jesper De Jong
70% ( 78 of 112)
1st Serve %
58% ( 72 of 124)
2
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
7
64% ( 50 of 78)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 40 of 72)
50% ( 17 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 23 of 52)
44% ( 8 of 18)
Break Points Won
42% ( 5 of 12)
40% ( 45 of 112)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 61 of 124)
128
Total Points Won
108
W
6-3 6-4 2-6 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jeff Wolf
70% ( 47 of 67)
1st Serve %
56% ( 37 of 66)
5
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
70% ( 33 of 47)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 17 of 37)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 8 of 29)
64% ( 9 of 14)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
31% ( 21 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 41 of 66)
87
Total Points Won
46
W
6-1 6-2 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
74% ( 64 of 86)
1st Serve %
70% ( 57 of 81)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
80% ( 51 of 64)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 34 of 57)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
71% ( 17 of 24)
23% ( 3 of 13)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
29% ( 25 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 30 of 81)
91
Total Points Won
76
L
4-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jan-Lennard Struff
63% ( 83 of 131)
1st Serve %
61% ( 63 of 103)
3
Aces
10
4
Double Faults
4
59% ( 49 of 83)
1st Serve Won
78% ( 49 of 63)
69% ( 33 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 17 of 40)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
37% ( 49 of 131)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 37 of 103)
119
Total Points Won
115
W
6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(4) H2H
R3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Thiago Seyboth Wild
67% ( 31 of 46)
1st Serve %
54% ( 33 of 61)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
5
87% ( 27 of 31)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 22 of 33)
47% ( 7 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 9 of 28)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
26% ( 12 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 30 of 61)
64
Total Points Won
43
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Alexander Shevchenko
68% ( 26 of 38)
1st Serve %
58% ( 32 of 55)
1
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
0
65% ( 17 of 26)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 15 of 32)
58% ( 7 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
22% ( 5 of 23)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
37% ( 14 of 38)
Rtn Points Won
64% ( 35 of 55)
59
Total Points Won
34
W
6-2 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
63% ( 35 of 56)
1st Serve %
58% ( 34 of 59)
4
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
77% ( 27 of 35)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 19 of 34)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 13 of 25)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
34% ( 19 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 27 of 59)
64
Total Points Won
51
L
6-2 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
64% ( 35 of 55)
1st Serve %
68% ( 40 of 59)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
74% ( 26 of 35)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 25 of 40)
55% ( 11 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
33% ( 18 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 27 of 59)
64
Total Points Won
50
W
6-3 6-3 H2H

Matteo Berrettini Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Miomir Kecmanovic
Player
Matteo Berrettini
59% ( 30 of 51)
1st Serve %
70% ( 33 of 47)
4
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 16 of 33)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
33% ( 17 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 26 of 47)
60
Total Points Won
38
L
6-3 6-1 H2H
F
cross
Matteo Berrettini
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
71% ( 47 of 66)
1st Serve %
72% ( 44 of 61)
5
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
74% ( 35 of 47)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 24 of 44)
47% ( 9 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
65% ( 11 of 17)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
33% ( 22 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 26 of 61)
70
Total Points Won
57
W
7-5 6-2 H2H
SF
cross
Matteo Berrettini
Player
Mariano Navone
76% ( 65 of 86)
1st Serve %
80% ( 86 of 107)
6
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
1
77% ( 50 of 65)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 53 of 86)
52% ( 11 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 8 of 21)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
29% ( 25 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 46 of 107)
107
Total Points Won
86
W
6-7(4) 6-3 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Matteo Berrettini
Player
Lorenzo Sonego
81% ( 55 of 68)
1st Serve %
70% ( 45 of 64)
5
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
2
84% ( 46 of 55)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 34 of 45)
46% ( 6 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 10 of 19)
25% ( 1 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
24% ( 16 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
31% ( 20 of 64)
72
Total Points Won
60
W
6-3 7-6(5) H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Berrettini
Player
Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
68% ( 58 of 85)
1st Serve %
53% ( 46 of 86)
8
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
1
74% ( 43 of 58)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 29 of 46)
44% ( 12 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
65% ( 26 of 40)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
35% ( 30 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 31 of 86)
86
Total Points Won
85
W
6-4 4-6 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Berrettini
Player
Alexander Shevchenko
56% ( 25 of 45)
1st Serve %
52% ( 31 of 60)
3
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
84% ( 21 of 25)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 16 of 31)
50% ( 10 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
31% ( 14 of 45)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 32 of 60)
63
Total Points Won
42
W
6-2 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Andy Murray
Player
Matteo Berrettini
67% ( 56 of 83)
1st Serve %
64% ( 68 of 107)
9
Aces
8
1
Double Faults
0
79% ( 44 of 56)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 51 of 68)
67% ( 18 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 18 of 39)
18% ( 2 of 11)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
25% ( 21 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 38 of 107)
100
Total Points Won
90
L
4-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
F
cross
Nuno Borges
Player
Matteo Berrettini
64% ( 54 of 85)
1st Serve %
52% ( 40 of 77)
7
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
4
78% ( 42 of 54)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 29 of 40)
45% ( 14 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 19 of 37)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
34% ( 29 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 29 of 77)
85
Total Points Won
77
L
7-5 7-6(4) H2H
SF
cross
Matteo Berrettini
Player
Aleksandar Vukic
63% ( 51 of 81)
1st Serve %
51% ( 55 of 107)
13
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
2
84% ( 43 of 51)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 36 of 55)
40% ( 12 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 25 of 52)
25% ( 2 of 8)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
32% ( 26 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 46 of 107)
101
Total Points Won
87
W
7-6(2) 7-6(2) H2H
QF
cross
Matteo Berrettini
Player
Terence Atmane
64% ( 76 of 119)
1st Serve %
60% ( 69 of 115)
10
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
5
76% ( 58 of 76)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 51 of 69)
47% ( 20 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 23 of 46)
13% ( 1 of 8)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
34% ( 41 of 119)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 41 of 115)
119
Total Points Won
115
W
3-6 7-6(1) 7-6(6) H2H

Alcaraz Vs Berrettini Prediction H2H Images To Share

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